0:00:08i took in international business course last fall management thirty forty
0:00:13and there were two subjects f on extremely interesting first was project finance in the
0:00:18second was political business cycle theory my research kind of questions something from that was
0:00:23how do developing democratic collections affect project finance capital structure
0:00:28first off i review a lot of the literature surrounding project finance what it is
0:00:33how it's been studied throughout history that i looked at vertical business cycle theory to
0:00:38really understand that the two threes that underlie which is opportunistic and part of simple
0:00:44is a political businesslike theory
0:00:46someone about looking at the two political "'cause" the psycho theories and use that and
0:00:50a series of macroeconomic institutional and project specific controls to really assess the impact of
0:00:58elections on the capital structure my research supervisor is actually my professed if not enough
0:01:03some of this class paul weller
0:01:04and he is done extensive research on the subject of both project finance employed a
0:01:09cup as a cycle theory
0:01:10but really never together and he was there to guide me through how to how
0:01:14to create this study the actually measured but we we're trying to seek hypothesis was
0:01:21elections in general increase investment risk in therefore increased amount of equity that has to
0:01:27be provided by multinational corporations and found this to be statistically significant where
0:01:32about a foreigner have percent increase in fact what he was necessary for products during
0:01:37election years and this is big because that can change the timing of the size
0:01:41the project that they want undertaken these developing democracies they're really trying to garner for
0:01:45direct investment
0:01:47and then on the other side with part of sandwiches looking at how political parties
0:01:51of the incumbent presidential candidate it played a role
0:01:56i did not find
0:01:58significant support for my hypotheses by did find some interesting aspects where it seems the
0:02:04left wing
0:02:05incumbents side increase investment risk as opposed to with the right wing
0:02:10but it will
0:02:12really be interesting to see future research done on partisanship
0:02:16there's not really